Leaks.....
Time to work my Pokertracker Database!!!
This includes all my cash game stats for $0.05/$0.10 and $0.10/$0.20, where 10 players were sat at the table - a toal of 14,276 hands.
If I look at my top 5 most profitable hands - no major surprises!!! But I really wish I knew what was "normal" - what I should be making from these hands. Just because they are my most profitable hands, doesn't mean I'm extracting maximum value from them!!!!
| Hand | BB/Hand |
| AA | 8.94 |
| KK | 6.23 |
| AKs | 4.5 |
| 99 | 4.16 |
| 3.8 |
However, when we look at my 7 least profitable hands, then there are some surprises!!!! A lot of A and K in there!!! Do I get "married" to A and K with rags?
| Hand | BB/Hand |
| KQo | -1.17 |
| A2s | -1 |
| A6s | -0.85 |
| ATs | -0.72 |
| J8o | -0.65 |
First thing, I want to filter this to just the last 3 months. I feel that my standard of play is improving (quite dramatically) all the time - as it should - I'm still relatively new to the game having started in around June 2005!! So - overall it has been a problem, but is it still a problem?
Looking at the last 3 months cuts my database down to 4,850 hands (not "significant", but good for an indication).
| Hand | Last 3 months |
| A2s | -5.88 |
| TT | -2.08 |
| J8o | -1.74 |
| KQo | -1.51 |
| KJs | -1.4 |
Suggest the problem is still there!!!!
A2s looks my biggest leak, but I'm more interested in KQo for the moment - because that hand simply shouldn't be there!!!! (but is in both lists) - so I am going to disect KQo!!!!
52 times I have been dealt KQo, of which I folded Pre Flop 32 times. Of the 20 occasions I played it, 14 times I let it go with minimal loss. 3 times I made a minimal win and 3 times I made losses. So lets look at the 3 losses!!!
Loss 1 - $10.00
I am Big Blind. 5 Limpers to me allowing me in "free". I check and see the flop.
Flop comes 8sQc6s. I have top pair.
Second to act I bet 40c into the 60c pot.
3 players call, next 2 fold.
Turn comes 3h
I am first to act.
Potential flush and straight draws that I want to pay for their draws. I bet $2 into the $2.20 pot.
Player 1 calls. Player 2 folds. Player 3 raises to $13.09 and is all in!!
Now I have a decision to make!! I cannot remember any specific reads I had on my opponent, but "only" have top pair with high (but not top) kicker - decision should generally be to let it go!! I am being asked to put $7.50 (all in for me) in to the pot for the chance to win $13.70 (or $21.20 if player to act after me also calls)
For whatever reason I call!!!!
Player to follow me folds and we are HU.
Opponent turns over 7d5h. He is semi bluffing and has an open ended straight draw. He has 8 outs with 1 card to come, so is an 18% shot to win the hand and I am 82%.
The river is the 4s and I am beat.
I have to be happy with the way I played that - I made the right choice to call his all in and was just unlucky on the river!!!! I should not be looking to change this.
Looking at my opponents stats now (which were not necessarily available at the time, though a partial picture should have started to be formed!!) goes some way to explaining why I called his all in!! I have seen him play 90 hands. He has voluntarily put money into the pot on 75% of those hands!!!!! Interestingly he made a profit over these 90 hands, despite being so loose - making 167.11 BB/100 hands!!!! His aggression factor on the turn is 2.9 (aggressive!!) - this is more aggressive than me with an aggressive factor on the turn of 2.3.
In general, I should fold to the all in - against this opponent though I can accept it was the right decision to call.
Loss 2 - $3.79
I am in middle position. 2 Limpers and a minimum raise to me. I flat call!! Horrible!!!!!!
Player following me calls, everyone folds to the blinds. BB and two early limpers call. 6 Players in the pot and I am 5th to act. As it happens, not a bad result, though through luck rather than design!!!
Flop comes 6c2d6h
Everyone checks.
Turn comes 4s to complete rainbow.
First player checks.
2nd player bets 10c into $1.25 pot.
3rd player calls
4th player folds
I call
6th player calls
1st player folds
River comes Ks
I have top 2 pair with Q kicker. No flushes and unlikely straights. A 6 is the only worry, but in general I feel I should have the strongest hand!!!
Players 1 and 2 check.
I bet $1 into the $1.65 pot.
Player 4 raises to $3.49 and is all in.
Players 1 and 2 fold.
I now have to decide if I pay $2.49 for the chance to win $6.14
I do and my opponent turns over 7s6s and his Trip 6 has me beat.
With 5 opponents seeing the flop, holding 10 cards between them, I should have taken the "threat" of one of them holding a 6 far more seriously!!!! However I wasn't aggressive till I hit and there was agreat chance I was winning. Was the final call correct? That depends on the read on my opponent!!! Even now, I only have 31 hands history on this opponent, so a hard choice, but hard to lay the hand down!!!!
Loss 3 - $1.10
I am in late position. 2 callers before me. 3 callers after me (all blinds - one player just arrived at table), so 6 players seeing the flop.
Flop is KhJcJd
4 players before me check.
I bet 40c into the 60c pot. I need to see where I am against a possible J.
I have one flat caller.
Turn is 3d - not a card to change much.
Opponent checks.
I check!!!! Should have asked a question, but opponent holding a J is rightly worrying me!!!
River is 9h.
Opponent bets 60c into the pot of $1.40.
It will cost me 60c for the chance to win $2 - I need to see my opponents J and pay!!!
Opponent turns over QdTh. I gave him a free card on the turn and he hit!!!! Should I have bet again on the turn or was I right to be worried about the J? Could/Should I have taken down the pot sooner, or was I right to be worried about a J? Should I have paid off the bet at the end? Not sure what I could/should have done differently!!!
Summary
I think that there are too few hands here for serious conclusions - did I play any of the hands too badly? A couple of rivers against me and the stats for the way I play KQo are completely distorted and looking worse than they are!!! Think I need to come back to this when I have a few more hands to look at!!!
posted by GaF at 5:16 PM
|
2 comments
